• Double Helix Structure of Think Tank Research

    Subjects: Other Disciplines >> Synthetic discipline submitted time 2023-03-28 Cooperative journals: 《中国科学院院刊》

    Abstract: As the role of think tanks in the process of advancing the modernization of the national governance system and governance capacity become increasingly prominent, the exploration on the paradigm, theories, and methodologies of think tank research become an important issue. This study raised the double helix structure of think tank research, which is a framework not only to conceptualize think tank research, but also provide practical guidance in conducting think tank research. The outer circulation of the double helix structure conceptualized the research process into question decomposing, interdisciplinary research, and regression to the true question. The inner circulation of the double helix structure is constituted of process convergence method (Data-Information-Intelligence-Solution, DIIS) and logics layer method (Mechanism-Impact-Policy-Solution, MIPS), which target separately at research process and research logics. The internal coupling relationship and the time-space domain are further analyzed. Finally, the theoretical value of the double helix structure of think tank research is raised, which could be considered as a new paradigm in conceptualizing and conducting think tank research.

  • 新科技革命与三元融合社会——关于雄安新区建设的宏观思考

    Subjects: Other Disciplines >> Synthetic discipline submitted time 2017-11-23 Cooperative journals: 《中国科学院院刊》

    Abstract:从大历史观角度来看,文明进步、发展模式、世界格局、科技创新、中国发展都处在重大转折期。全球创新活动进入一个新的密集期,绿色、健康、智能引领创新方向,人工智能、新能源技术、新生物技术等多点突破、交叉汇聚,颠覆性技术不断涌现,新科技革命加速产业变革。以人为本的人机物三元融合社会孕育兴起,人与自然和谐相处,成为伙伴关系;人工智能等新科技将改变人与机器的关系,可能使机器从人类的工具和从属,逐步上升为伙伴。雄安新区因疏解而生、应创新而起、逐智能而强,新一轮科技革命和产业变革是雄安新区建设最大的变量和增量,在未来建设中,应采取"国家创新特区"的体制,充分用好新科技革命的成果,积极探索人机物三元融合社会下的未来城市新形态。

  • 新科技革命与三元融合社会——关于雄安新区建设的宏观思考

    Subjects: Other Disciplines >> Synthetic discipline submitted time 2017-11-17 Cooperative journals: 《中国科学院院刊》

    Abstract:从大历史观角度来看,文明进步、发展模式、世界格局、科技创新、中国发展都处在重大转折期。全球创新活动进入一个新的密集期,绿色、健康、智能引领创新方向,人工智能、新能源技术、新生物技术等多点突破、交叉汇聚,颠覆性技术不断涌现,新科技革命加速产业变革。以人为本的人机物三元融合社会孕育兴起,人与自然和谐相处,成为伙伴关系;人工智能等新科技将改变人与机器的关系,可能使机器从人类的工具和从属,逐步上升为伙伴。雄安新区因疏解而生、应创新而起、逐智能而强,新一轮科技革命和产业变革是雄安新区建设最大的变量和增量,在未来建设中,应采取"国家创新特区"的体制,充分用好新科技革命的成果,积极探索人机物三元融合社会下的未来城市新形态。

  • Proposal for Establishing Wide-area Virtual Power Plant Based on PV-dominated Energy and Physical Energy Storage System

    Subjects: Other Disciplines >> Synthetic discipline submitted time 2023-03-28 Cooperative journals: 《中国科学院院刊》

    Abstract: The key issues to achieve the “dual carbon” goals mainly involve three aspects: the structure of energy and power supply, the development of energy storage technology and the construction of new power system. Combined with the specific situation of China, this study analyzes and forecasts the power supply structure dominated by renewable energy; Considering the characteristics and development needs of renewable energy, the viewpoint and idea are put forward to develop physical energy storage, especially underground energy storage engineering, to meet the large-scale energy storage needs of power grid. On this basis, the overall idea is suggested for constructing wide area virtual power plant and future power system.

  • Systematic Thinking on Logical System of Think Tank Research

    Subjects: Other Disciplines >> Synthetic discipline submitted time 2023-03-19 Cooperative journals: 《中国科学院院刊》

    Abstract: As an important part of the national decision-making consulting system, theoretical and methodological think-tank research could contribute to improve the level of think tank research, expand the scope of the questions concerned, and effectively exert its role and functions. This paper views think tank research as the object of investigation, and reflects theoretically on the more general role and characteristics, the principles and logic system, the process and methods, and the evaluation criteria of think tank products, which forms a systematic thinking of the logical system of think tank research.

  • 以科技发展战略研究引领未来创新发展方向

    Subjects: Other Disciplines >> Synthetic discipline submitted time 2016-11-02 Cooperative journals: 《中国科学院院刊》

    Abstract: http://www.bulletin.cas.cn/ch/reader/view_abstract.aspx?file_no=20160812&flag=1

  • Decomposing Research Problems in Think Tank Double Helix Methodology

    Subjects: Other Disciplines >> Synthetic discipline submitted time 2023-03-28 Cooperative journals: 《中国科学院院刊》

    Abstract: How to correctly analyze and decompose the research problems considering the complexity of think tank research problems, especially the major needs of the country, is of great significance for proposing scientific and effective problem solutions. One of the key issues in the Think Tank Double Helix Methodology the need to analyze research problems from the process of “analysis-convergence-reduction”. That is to decompose them into a series of sub-problems, and to combine various types of knowledge to investigate the sub-problems, and to conduct a comprehensive restitution of the research problem to propose a satisfactory solution to the original problem finally. In the process of problem-solving, problem-decomposition is the first and crucial step to start the research work. This article focuses on the analysis and research of how to decompose think tank research problems. Under the framework of the Think Tank Double Helix Methodology, four steps of the analysis problem are proposed (defining the problem, describing the problem, constructing the frame, and forming a set of sub-problems), and intends to provide a set of practical and feasible methods to analyze problems. This study is to provide methodological supports for decision makers and managers relevant to think tanks.

  • Strategy of Scientific and Technological Powerhouse in New Era

    Subjects: Other Disciplines >> Synthetic discipline submitted time 2023-03-28 Cooperative journals: 《中国科学院院刊》

    Abstract: Scientific and technological powerhouse is the core of a fully modernized country, and the scientific and technological modernization is an important part of modernization with Chinese characteristics. To grasp the new development stage, implement the new development concept, build the new development pattern, and promote the high-quality development, it is urgent to systematically promote the construction of scientific and technological powerhouse (STP) in the new era from the perspective of strategic system. Firstly, define the strategic connotation and establish the strategic system analysis framework of “strategic environment-strategic objectives-strategic capabilities#2;strategic actions”. Secondly, analyze the strategic environment for constructing an STP, accurately study and judge the general trend of long#2;term development and firmly grasp the strategic opportunities of science and technology. Thirdly, enrich the strategic goal of constructing an STP, enter the ranks and forefront of innovative countries, and constructing an STP. Fourthly, enhance the strategic capacity of constructing an STP, build a national innovation system, and strengthen strategic scientific and technological force and strategic talent force. Finally, deepen the strategic action of constructing an STP, implement the innovation driven development strategy, and promote sci-tech self-reliance and self#2;strengthening at higher levels.

  • Building Ten Types of New Infrastructure System for a Great Modern Power

    Subjects: Other Disciplines >> Synthetic discipline submitted time 2023-03-28 Cooperative journals: 《中国科学院院刊》

    Abstract: From the perspective of human historical development process, this study analyzes the connotation evolution and system composition of infrastructure. Measured by the intergenerational leap in infrastructure, this study discusses the connotation and characteristics of new infrastructure in the era of knowledge and intelligent society. From the two dimensions of form and content, the study also puts forward that the new infrastructure system includes technology and digital infrastructure, infrastructure upgrading, infrastructure digitalization, national security, and governance infrastructure in the next 30 years. Based on the eight “economic and social foundation and strategic systems” and two basic systems of “scientific and technological innovation and institutional innovation”, this study discusses the composition and structure of ten types of new infrastructure system for a great modern power by 2050. Finally, combined with the current situation, the study puts forward some policy suggestions to promote the construction of new infrastructure system for a great modern power from the three aspects of strategic layout, investment plan, and project reserve.

  • 刍议科普现代化的本质特征与建构路径

    Subjects: Management Science >> Science ology and Management submitted time 2023-06-15 Cooperative journals: 《中国科学院院刊》

    Abstract: This study starts with the new requirements for the popularization of science put forward at the 20th National Congress of the CPC, and proposes the development ideas for modernizing the popularization of science. It is deeply analyzed the dialectical relationship between the popularization of science and modernization with Chinese characteristics, sorted out how the popularization of science has strongly supported and promoted modernization with Chinese characteristics in history, studied the new situation and problems facing scientific innovation and popularization in the current process of modernization, and put forward the direction for innovative development of the popularization of science in the new era under the guidance of the goal of modernization with Chinese characteristics. The connotation and scope of modernizing the popularization of science are systematically expounded, and five essential characteristics are proposed: modernizing goals, systems, coordination, mechanisms, and means. Furthermore, from three aspects: the vigorous development of undertakings for the popularization of science, the full satisfaction of public demand, the complete and efficient system for the popularization of science, the smooth transformation of innovation achievements, the deeply rooted scientific culture, and the continuous optimization of innovation environment, the vision and goal for modernizing the popularization of science are put forward. Based on this, the construction ideas and implementation paths for modernizing the popularization of science are proposed.

  • Think Tank Double Helix Methodology on Employment Problems in Internet Age

    Subjects: Other Disciplines >> Synthetic discipline submitted time 2023-03-28 Cooperative journals: 《中国科学院院刊》

    Abstract: With the world-renowned development and proliferation of the Internet in China, we have seen the dawning of the IoE (Internet of everything) era, where there will be significant permeation into all corners of society. The new formats as Internet economy and digital economy become the new momentum for economic growth, and it will have profound impact on the demand for skills, which is considerably high on the agenda of social research. Accordingly, we need to grasp the law of development, have insight of trends, make predictions and give policy response. This study proposes to build a new think tank research system on employment in the Internet age, based on the Think Tank Double Helix Methodology. First of all, the necessity of constructing a new think tank research system on employment is expounded with theory and methodology. Then, this study summarizes the key elements to build a new think tank research system on employment from the perspective of research links and logic, based on the “Six Transitions” of the Think Tank Double Helix Methodology. Finally, we consider and explain the relationship between think tank research and academic research, furthermore, this forms academic and practical think tank research system by building up a connection between those two.

  • Transforming Scientific Research: Organized Basic Research

    Subjects: Other Disciplines >> Synthetic discipline submitted time 2023-03-28 Cooperative journals: 《中国科学院院刊》

    Abstract: With the new round of global scientific and technological revolution and accelerated industrial transformation and the rapid development of interdisciplinary research, the basic research is shifting from the exploratory behavior of individual scientist to a more organized form. This article raised the conceptualizing framework of “organized basic research”, revealed its characteristics and major types. The article also discussed and clarified several important issues in relate to the organized basic research, that it should stick to the goal of scientific development, it should be led by scientists, and academic freedom would always constitute as its foundation.

  • Promoting “Six Transitions” in Think Tank Research

    Subjects: Other Disciplines >> Synthetic discipline submitted time 2023-03-28 Cooperative journals: 《中国科学院院刊》

    Abstract: The article analyzed the current characteristics and situation of think tank research both domestically and internationally, and raised the ideas that think tank research need to achieve “six transitions” especially under the background of think tank construction agenda of Chinese government, which is to transition from empirical to scientific research, from discrete to systematic approach, from randomness to normativeness, from pure academic-oriented to integrative studies fitting both academic and practical requirements, from static to stable style, and from a single discipline basis to comprehensive and consistent research. Based on long-term experiences and practices in policy and strategic research, Prof. PAN Jiaofeng at the Institutes of Science and Development, Chinese Academy of Sciences (CASISD) proposed a new method for think tank research, namely the think tank double helix methodology. The methodology comprises of two cycles: the external cycle featuring three stages—the deduction of research question, the comprehensive research, and the regression to the real problem, and the internal iterative cycle involving two mutually embedded helixes—DIIS at the process level and MIPS at the inherent logic level. The DIIS helix emphasizes that the research must follow a step-wise process beginning at data (D) collection, and proceeding to information (I) revelation, intelligence (I) synthesis, and arriving at solution (S) formation; while MIPS helix stresses that the content of the research must follow a logical pathway starting from mechanism (M) analysis, developing to impact (I) analysis and policy (P) analysis, and finally arriving at solution (S) formation. In the booming field of think tank research, the double helix methodology represents a fundamental work to advance the scientific development of think tank research, given that it provides a pathway to promote the “six transitions” as mentioned above and to establish think tank research as a science. The methodology would provide think tank research with a new way of thinking, practice guidelines, and operational approach, hence establishing a research paradigm for think tank research. As a new way of thinking, it aims at eliminating the scattered, fragmented and simplified style of thinking, giving way to a more holistic and systematic mindset. As a practice guideline, it offers a global, panoramic and full-process reference for think tank research, covering both the process and the content of the research. As an operational approach, it plays an instrumental role in gathering the wisdom of experts and scholars with various academic backgrounds and experiences, and comprehensively integrating methods and tools of different types. Therefore, this article explains in detail about how to utilize the think tank double helix methodology as the basic theoretical and methodological paradigm, so as to promote the “six transitions”, and reveals the value and significance of the think tank double helix methodology in promoting the scientific development of think tank research.

  • Research on science and technology innovation strategy and policy system: “3+5” analytical framework

    Subjects: Statistics >> Social Statistics submitted time 2024-03-27 Cooperative journals: 《中国科学院院刊》

    Abstract: As an important means of promoting national scientific and technological development, S&T innovation strategy and policy are advancing towards a multidimensional “synergy” among S&T, the economy, society, and the environment, and they need to encompass many internal and external elements of S&T system. Accordingly, an overall S&T policy framework covering key elements and relevant interactions should be constructed. This study proposes “3+5” analytical framework for S&T innovation strategy and policy. Specifically, (1) this study defines the conceptual connotation of “3+5” framework, and puts forward the “design layer” including guiding strategy, planning layout, and institutional arrangement, and the “construction layer” including policy on innovative actor, policy on resource allocation, policy on scientific and technological talents, policy on the transformation of achievements, and policy on research environment; (2) this study describes the logic of “3+5” framework in terms of its role and value dimensions; (3) this study examines China’s strategic layout of scientific and technological innovation, and conducts a policy analysis on the basis of “3+5” framework.

  • “Ten Key Issues” of Think Tank Double Helix Methodology

    Subjects: Other Disciplines >> Synthetic discipline submitted time 2023-03-28 Cooperative journals: 《中国科学院院刊》

    Abstract: With the deepening of think tank construction, the importance of think tank research has become increasingly prominent. Think tank double helix methodology focuses on solving the problem of “how to do” think tank research, provides a systematic cognitive perspective for think tank research. Starting from the origin of think tank research, this study proposes the “ten key issues” of the think tank double helix methodology. The first key issue is “the decomposition and analysis of think tank problem”. This issue is the critical starting point for think tank problem research. The think tank problem is simplified and decomposed into the single-dimensional sub-problem set, and the structured cognitive framework is established, which is linked to the existing knowledge system. The second key issue is “the scenario analysis driven by think tank problem”. The various scenarios of the think tank problem that may occur in the future are considered, and the possibility of these scenarios, their impact and consequences are analyzed to help decision makers make reasonable decisions. The third key issue is “ the uncertainty analysis of think tank problem research”. Through analyzing the uncertainty in policy-making, the risk degree and scope brought by uncertainty, and the results under different risks, the deviation of think tank problem solution is reduced. The fourth key issue is “the policy simulation analysis of think tank problem research”. The convergence of economics, sociology, management, public policy, and other multidisciplinary theoretical knowledge is used to model and calculate think tank problem under the support of computer technology, and the past causes and future impacts of policy are analyzed accordingly. The fifth key issue is “ the circulative iteration of think tank research”. When there are situations such as incomplete cognitive framework, insufficient expert consensus, and deviations between objective analysis and subjective judgment, a new round research needs to be opened. Such a circulative iteration is a process of deepening understanding, continuous convergence, repeatedly evidence-based, and seeking solutions. The sixth key issue is “the coupling relationship between DIIS and MIPS”. The two spirals of data-information-intelligence-solution (DIIS) and mechanism-impact-policy-solution (MIPS) are tightly coupled, interlocked, and mutually affected, achieving convergence from relatively decentralized, open, and cross-domain think tank research to practical solutions. The seventh key issue is “the expert organization and management of think tank research”. The selection of experts needs to be closely linked to the think tank problem to achieve a match between experts and problem. With the deepening of research, it is necessary to continuously search for and select suitable experts, and dynamically organize a wider range of experts to participate in research. The eighth key issue is “ the human-machine combination think tank research support system”. The emergence of artificial intelligence scientists and human-machine combination interaction platform systems provide possibilities for human-machine combination think tank research. This will become the trend and direction of think tanks in the future. The ninth key issue is “the combination of objective analysis and subjective judgment”. To maintain the independence of think tanks, it is necessary to combine objective analysis and subjective judgment, avoid decision-making deviations on the basis of fully considering objective facts, and prevent intentional subjective intervention on the basis of fully analyzing the demands of relevant stakeholders. The tenth key issue is “the think tank product quality management”. The quality of think tank products represents the core competitiveness of the think tank. Think tank double helix methodology can provide a basis for the quality control of the whole think tank research process. “Ten key issues” is another innovation, deepening, and development of think tank double helix methodology. Solving “ten key issues” will provide more specific method and tool set for think tank double helix methodology, and make think tank research more operational, formalization, and scientific.

  • Promoting Organized Basic Research: Strategic Layout and Strategic Capacity in Science and Technology

    Subjects: Other Disciplines >> Synthetic discipline submitted time 2023-03-28 Cooperative journals: 《中国科学院院刊》

    Abstract: Focusing on “organized basic research”, this study reviews the main experience of major countries in promoting “organized basic research” from three aspects, namely, driving scientific and technological innovation, coordinating the strategic layout, and clarifying the division of strategic capacity in science and technology. Then, from the two perspectives, i.e., task layout of five types of “organized basic research”, and main orientation of strategic capacity in science and technology of three types of institution, the study analyzes the promotion ideas of “organized basic research” in China in the new era. Finally, the study puts forward the ways to improve implementation mechanism of “organized basic research” in China from four aspects, namely, scientific problem selection mechanism, resource allocation mechanism, organizational model, and management mode.

  • Opportunities, Challenges, and Recommendations for Development of Future Industries in China

    Subjects: Other Disciplines >> Synthetic discipline submitted time 2023-03-28 Cooperative journals: 《中国科学院院刊》

    Abstract: Taking technology innovation as driving force, future industries aim to meet the new needs of human and social development, with the potential to expand human understanding, enhance human capacity, and promote sustainable development of society. The forward looking layout of future industries is an important measure to build modern industrial system, cultivate new driving force of development, and promote high-quality economic development in China. Based on the description of the concept and characteristics of future industries, this paper reviews the development trends of global industry in the future, and the present situation and foundation of China’s future industry development. It also puts forward policy suggestions for the future industry development from the perspectives of accelerating the basic research, incubation of industrial ecology, and strengthening talent training.

  • Evaluation of Regional Innovation Environment Based on Think Tank Double Helix Methodology

    Subjects: Other Disciplines >> Synthetic discipline submitted time 2023-03-28 Cooperative journals: 《中国科学院院刊》

    Abstract: The evaluation of regional innovation environment (RIE) is an important policy tool to strengthen the construction of regional innovation system (RIS). At present, the research is academic rather than decision-making, and lacks the guidance of research methods of think tanks based on the complex social system. Based on the think tank double helix methodology raised by Institutes of Science and Development, Chinese Academy of Sciences (CASISD), this work carries out a systematic and in-depth study on the evaluation of China’s RIE and its index system in the new era on the basis of objective and scientific evaluation of relevant research and practice. Firstly, taking the data-information#2;intelligence-solution (DIIS) method as a main approach to in-depth summarize the evaluation of RIE, and analyze the grasp of the hierarchy of evaluation objects, the evolution dynamics of evaluation theory, and the structure of evaluation index framework in the existing research layer by layer from phenomenon to essence, so as to reveal the essential attribute of the evaluation of RIE as a policy tool, and explore the function of the evaluation as a means to guide the social cognition and development trend. Secondly, taking the mechanism-impact-policy-solution (MIPS) as the main method and taking steps from the past to the future, to discuss the scientization of the analysis idea of the evaluation index system of RIE, explain the evaluation mechanism through past cases, and the decisive role of the basic mechanism of regional innovation environment development on the construction of the evaluation index system, as well as the differences and commonality of the evaluation indexes in different regions; then, through the current case analysis of the impact mechanism, this study expounds the impact of different policy positioning, research methods, and regional factors on the evaluation index system and its effect; furthermore, it is proposed that the evaluation facing the future development should highlight the policy action mechanism and scientifically deal with the relationship between innovating stages and the instrumentality of evaluation. Finally, by using the think tank double helix methodology, a matrix cross fusion of DIIS and MIPS, this work studies and puts forward a systematic solution to improve the evaluation index system of RIE from process to result. The main conclusions are as follows. Firstly, a new analysis method for systematic analysis of evaluation indicators is summarized by using the think tank double helix methodology, which is called the “four-dimensional analysis method”. Secondly, the think tank double helix methodology adheres to the “Three Orientations”, which makes it easier to find and overcome the disadvantages of the single, empirical, scattered, academic, and static method of “from index to index” in the previous research. Thirdly, the think tank double helix methodology derives a systematic solution that is both theoretical and practical, and constructs the general requirements, basic principles, main characteristics, evaluation methods, and objectives of the organizational implementation stage of the regional innovation environment evaluation index system that is more suitable for China’s developing stage now, in line with the direction of innovation strategy and policy needs. The study shows that the think tank double. helix methodology do adhere to the systematic scientific method and provide a new paradigm of the research of think tanks on complex social systemic issues with clear thinking, rigorous logic, and clear guidance.

  • DIIS Theory and Methodology for Multi-scale Think Tank Issues

    Subjects: Other Disciplines >> Synthetic discipline submitted time 2023-03-28 Cooperative journals: 《中国科学院院刊》

    Abstract: In the process of advancing the modernization of the national governance system and governance capacity, the important role of think tanks becomes increasingly prominent. Because of the comprehensive crossover characteristics of think tank research problem, it manifested as different scale research problems. The research process follows the general and common methods of the think-tank Data-Information-Intelligence-Solution (DIIS) theory, and has different key elements and steps. Grasping these key elements and steps and forming different scale DIIS methods can provide effective tools and methods for individuals, research groups and research teams to investigate the think tank research problems. From the perspective of crossing, relevance, and complexity, this study analyzes the characteristics of largescale, medium-scale, and small-scale think tank problems, and develops the process of dividing the scale of think tank problems. Secondly, large-scale, medium-scale, and small-scale think tank DIIS methods are proposed based on the DIIS theory, and the relationships of them are investigated. Finally, the DIIS writing specifications of think tanks of different scales are developed in order to ensure the normative and high quality of think tank research and to better play the role of think tank.

  • Three-dimensional Theoretical Model in Think Tank DIIS

    Subjects: Other Disciplines >> Synthetic discipline submitted time 2023-03-19 Cooperative journals: 《中国科学院院刊》

    Abstract: With the in-depth exploration of think tank construction, the rational development of think tanks and the output of high-quality research results have received increasingly attention in China. Nevertheless, the existing think tank research generally focuses on the part of the think tank problem, and it lacks the systematic thinking and cognition of the whole process of think tank research. To this end, based on the principle of think tank Data-Information-Intelligence-Solution (DIIS), this study proposes a three-dimensional theoretical model of think tank DIIS from the perspectives of research process, think tank orientation and method tools. Furthermore, the proposed model is analyzed from different views, including the main view of the research process and think tank orientation, the top view of the research process and method tools, and the left view of the method tool and the think tank orientation. Through the research, this study aims to explore the systematic methodology of think tank research and make contributions to the construction of high-quality think tank in China.