Your conditions: 郭剑锋
  • Electric vehicles contribute to China’s energy security and carbon peaking and carbon neutrality

    Subjects: Statistics >> Social Statistics submitted time 2024-03-27 Cooperative journals: 《中国科学院院刊》

    Abstract: The current international situation is complicated and unstable, and China is in the midst of an important economic transition as it deals with the twin concerns of energy security and carbon peaking and carbon neutrality (referred to as dual carbon goals). Although the dual carbon goals aim a strong emphasis on energy security, certain emission reduction strategies will place restrictions on energy security that is directly connected, such as energy supply and grid load, making it challenging to simultaneously fulfill the optimization goal. China now has the task of figuring out how to rationalize and optimize the coordinated promotion of the two. Electric vehicles are one of the most effective ways to attain both sides and reduce the tension between energy security and dual carbon goals since they offer numerous advantages in terms of energy savings, energy storage, and emission reduction. This study suggests creating a bilateral integration and coordination system guaranteed by the policy network and based on energy storage technology by first reducing policy inconsistencies; giving the electric vehicle industry’s guarantee role full play in creating a network of suitable policies; increasing the energy storage role of electric vehicles as they stand; and creating a system of bilateral integration and coordination with joint policy and technology.

  • 数字经济对中国经济增长和非农就业影响研究――基于投入占用产出模型

    Subjects: Other Disciplines >> Synthetic discipline submitted time 2018-07-26 Cooperative journals: 《中国科学院院刊》

    Abstract:随着数字化浪潮的涌现,数字经济必将对中国的经济产生更为深远的影响,表现在不仅将促进国内生产总值(GDP)更快速的增长,还将提升生产率、消费结构转型、优化投资结构、提升企业出口规模、提高人力资本质量,并引领新型智慧城市的发展。文章构建了非竞争型就业投入占用产出模型,采用支出法GDP(即最终支出的3个方面:消费、资本形成总额和出口总额)核算了我国数字经济的经济规模,最终估计3类支出所形成的经济规模分别对就业的影响效应。研究发现:(1)ICT(信息和通信技术)产业与传统产业的融合能够带动经济规模的扩张,特别是网络消费的增长,以此产生的消费导向型就业效应正在逐步扩大(使得非农就业占全部就业人数比例从2014年的15.2%增长到2016年的20.2%),其中未来应特别关注的发展领域应聚焦在医疗健康、文化娱乐和交通通讯。(2)数字经济对技术密集型制造业的就业影响强于劳动密集型和资本密集型,同时在生产型服务业中也表现出了强有力的就业影响效应,并促使我国产业经济从劳动密集型向技术密集型的转型。(3)中国的数字化转型将带来生产率的提升和创新的提速,并促进职业技能的培养,促使人力资本从低成本优势向职业技能优势转型,从而培养更高技能的劳动力队伍。