Your conditions: 王宁练
  • 近60 a天山北坡冰川变化研究

    Subjects: Geosciences >> Geography submitted time 2023-08-01 Cooperative journals: 《干旱区地理》

    Abstract:从流域尺度揭示天山北坡冰川变化状况,对下游绿洲地区水资源的合理开发利用具有重要意义。基于多源遥感影像提取天山北坡诸河流域近期冰川边界,结合前期发布的冰川编目及ASTER DEM数据,对该区域冰川面积和物质平衡变化特征进行了分析。结果表明:(1) 2015年前后天山北坡共计分布冰川10061条,总面积约4855.85245.86 km2。1960s2015年天山北坡国内段冰川面积萎缩速率为0.52%a-10.06%a-1,且近年来呈加速萎缩趋势(0.96%a-10.88%a-1);19992015年天山北坡国外段冰川面积萎缩速率约为0.56%a-10.31%a-1。(2) 20002020年天山北坡冰川表面高程变化速率约为-0.570.01 ma-1,冰川物质呈持续亏损态,物质平衡为-0.390.04 m w.e.a-1。(3) 天山北坡东、西段冰川面积和物质平衡变化均存在一定的空间差异性,近十几年间,东段各子流域冰川面积萎缩速率和物质亏损速率均相对较大。

  • Spatiotemporal Pattern, Trend, and Influence of Glacier Change in Tibetan Plateau and Surroundings under Global Warming

    Subjects: Other Disciplines >> Synthetic discipline submitted time 2023-03-28 Cooperative journals: 《中国科学院院刊》

    Abstract: Glaciers, an important part of Asia’s water tower, are extremely sensitive to climate change. The study on the spatiotemporal pattern of the changes of the glaciers in the Tibetan Plateau and surroundings in the context of global warming is helpful to identify the main water storage and supply areas of Asian Water Towers, which is of great significance for the rational planning and utilization of water resources. Through comprehensive analysis, it was revealed that the “Karakoram anomaly” might expand in different degrees to the Western Kunlun Mountains and the Pamirs, while the glaciers in the other parts of the Tibetan Plateau and surroundings were in an accelerated melting state recently. Moreover, we also illuminated the influences of the changes of the glaciers over the past 50 years and in different climate scenarios in the future on the basin water resources and sea level rise, and pointed out that the glacier observation and investigation should be carried out systematically, and a climate-ice-hydrological processes coupling model should be set up, in order to accurately assess the glacier melt water resources, which is an important basis for the green silk road construction.

  • Study on Climatic and Environmental Changes Recorded in Ice Cores: From Science to Policy

    Subjects: Other Disciplines >> Synthetic discipline submitted time 2023-03-28 Cooperative journals: 《中国科学院院刊》

    Abstract: Ice core is an important carrier of the past climatic and environmental change information. In this paper, we firstly introduced how ice cores record past climatic and environmental changes. Then, we elaborated the achievements of ice core research in the past climate change, levels of atmospheric greenhouse gases, solar activity, volcanic eruptions, and human activities. Thirdly, the role of ice core research in promoting relevant environmental policy making was stated, such as the ban on Pb additives in gasoline and greenhouse gas emission reduction policies. And finally, it was suggested that the state should establish a National Ice Core Facility to drill and store the ice cores from the Three Poles (Antarctic, Arctic, and the Third Pole) to serve the future scientific research and national development.

  • 基于流域的陕西省水资源承载力研究

    Subjects: Geosciences >> Hydrology submitted time 2020-06-12 Cooperative journals: 《干旱区地理》

    Abstract: 以陕西省9个流域为评价单元,基于宏观指标和综合指标构建水资源承载力综合评价模型。通过分析经济压力、人口压力、承载压力及协调指数,进而对研究区水资源承载力进行评价并探讨其时空分布特征。结果表明:(1)陕西各流域水资源承载力差异较为明显,其中陕南最大,陕北次之,汉中最小。陕南地区的汉江和嘉陵江两个流域水资源丰富且降水充足, WI1.50,处于严重超载阶段。(2)从承载压力指数分析可以看出,流域调水对缺水地区或经济中心城市的发展起到决定性作用。从丰水流域跨流域调水能解决地区性缺水问题,进而解决水资源危机所带来的社会经济可持续发展问题。(3)基于水资源的自然资源属性,以流域为评价单元,其研究结果更符合自然规律,有利于实现流域间水资源的合理均衡和分配。

  • 榆林市景观生态风险及其时空分异

    Subjects: Geosciences >> Other Disciplines of Geosciences submitted time 2019-09-11 Cooperative journals: 《干旱区研究》

    Abstract:以2000年、2005年、2010年和2015年ETM遥感影像为数据源,基于景观格局、生态敏感性和植被生产力构建景观生态风险综合指数,以ArcGIS 10.2和GS+9.0软件为平台,研究榆林市景观生态风险时空分异。结果表明:榆林市景观生态风险程度总体较高;2000年、2005年和2010年以中度风险为主,2015年以高度风险为主;2000—2010年,中度风险区范围在扩大,高度风险区范围在缩小;2010—2015年,中度风险区范围迅速缩小,而高度风险区范围迅速扩大。榆林市景观生态风险空间变异较小,景观生态风险空间相关性中等。2000年自然因素对景观生态风险空间变异的影响略大于人为因素的影响,2005年和2010年的影响基本相当,2015年则受自然因素影响较大。